next next gen computers

I read an interesting article stating that we have hit a threshold where if our computer technology doesn't get better, our computers will start getting bigger. More processors = more cooling = more power = bigger cases, etc...

Thats actually (partially) true, read: Moore's law.

Every two years the amount of transistors on a chip doubles, this has held true for the past 40 years. While we have not hit this limit yet, some theorize that within 2013 ish, we can physically not make a transistor any smaller or faster do to the speed of light.

Partially do to the above is why you're hearing about more and more dual core or quad core or threading. We're hitting a limit, when you cant execute a single instruction any faster, do two or four or more at the same time.

But there is a bottleneck with our systems - HDD. What we need to be doing is increasing read/write/memory times as they simply havnt kept up with CPUs. However, with the introduction of SSD, who knows what the next bottleneck will be.

Take it for what its worth. Conspiracy theory, que twilight zone music whooo oooo whoooo.
 
Hey hey, you're all forgetting about carbon nano tubes.

That stuff is going to be wicked.

A very good point.
Carbon nano tubes are supposed to be thousands of times more conductive than copper, which should hopefully mean computers that are thousands of times faster!

and one day processors will probably be down towards the femto metres in size rather than 32nm and such.

pointless fact for you all:
there are more femto seconds in one second than there are seconds in over 30 million years... so thats pretty freakin small.

and another one:
in one second light travels from the earth to the moon. In one femto second light travels the width of a human hair.

hope you enjoyed those random pieces of information :p
 
Well, I suppose I will give you a sneak peak...

My company, Garbage Town Dumpster Men PC inc. will run everyone out of business and then we will make a computer so fast five years after that your gonna need a flux-capacitor so you can use your riding lawnmowers to see the past. Just so you know what kind of influence your inputs had! It will be so quick you wont even know its there. :)
 
A very good point.
Carbon nano tubes are supposed to be thousands of times more conductive than copper, which should hopefully mean computers that are thousands of times faster!

and one day processors will probably be down towards the femto metres in size rather than 32nm and such.

pointless fact for you all:
there are more femto seconds in one second than there are seconds in over 30 million years... so thats pretty freakin small.

and another one:
in one second light travels from the earth to the moon. In one femto second light travels the width of a human hair.

hope you enjoyed those random pieces of information :p

Thank you, I was too tired to go and research for more information. Not only is it super conductive, it's also super strong.

Pointless fact:

Grazing animals all eat facing north. Scientists speculate that it's the ability to sense the earth's magnetic field that cuases this as near powerlines they all face random directions.
 
well,.. perhaps a 1000x more conductive, but still electricity can't go faster than the speed of light.
that is a good point, but still it will be faster than copper because the speed of light is like sum to infinity, you can get as close as you like but you can never get to it, and carbon nano tubing will be closer to the speed of light. So i guess it may not be 1000x faster, but it should still be faster. and also it should be more power efficient. i would like to say 1000x more power effecient, but that doesn't seem right... :rolleyes:

Thank you, I was too tired to go and research for more information. Not only is it super conductive, it's also super strong.

Pointless fact:

Grazing animals all eat facing north. Scientists speculate that it's the ability to sense the earth's magnetic field that cuases this as near powerlines they all face random directions.

haha that made me smile
 
Cloud computing first!

I think Cloud computing, and low end desktops or laptops - (as a simple portal to the beasts over the internet (Or in the "Cloud") will boom before any of the above said technologies... The only possible draw back atm, will be bandwidth over the net.

Just a thought. ;)
 
whats so good about cloud?

massive storage, massive processing power (cracking and DDoS proof of concepts so far), scalability, delocalization (dynamically shift work load to areas of lesser power cost.).

Its the next big game changer so blow millions on R&D and consulting.
everytime you say Web 3.0 a startup dies :(
 
So assuming cloud computing doesn't take over, then will out task managers all look like this in a decade or so?

cd6f6520c918837aad7f4d05470e3e02d8b2ae8b-600.png
 
Well intel said that pentium 4's could be clocked at up to 5ghz, but that never happened. I don't think we will see anything at 5ghz (stock clocked) for 4 years at least. You're right about intel/amd duking it out with how many cores they can stuff in a chip :P

Next up is die shrinking. we are already down to 32nm. my next guess is 20nm will be after that.

Hell, a few years ago we were still at 130nm! (socket 478 pentium 4 anyone?)

It goes 22NM 16NM 11NM, past 11NM they predict problems with quantum tunneling.
 
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